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Pretium Resources (PVG) Financial & Strategic Analysis

Gold/Silver Explorer Pretium Resources (PVG) is Updated



18.08.2012 20:50:37 - Gold/Silver Miner Pretium Resources (NYSE-PVG) expands its Valley of the Kings Resource in nearby British Columbia. By Ed Sheldon CPA (retired) of Sheldon's Finest Coins Dated: August 18, 2012

(live-PR.com) - Bonanza grades of Gold and Silver continue to be found in an ever increasing resource expansion in the Valley of the Kings for Pretium Resources, Inc. This resource expansion indicates that Pretium has the potential to produce extraordinary earnings over the next 5 to 10 years, once production has begun. See periodic updates at www.SheldonsFinestCoins.com . Pretium continues to issue

 

additional shares to obtain cash flow to fund exploration, since it is not yet in production. Potential earnings in Pretium is estimated at $18.98 per share (fully diluted). My potential price target remains at $464. These shares are currently priced below $15 (still a bargain).

Although I believe that an investor’s first preference should be gold and silver in their possession and
therefore outside the banking system, Pretium Resources (PVG) is a unique company. Their web-site is www.pretivm.com . I will make free periodic updates for my customers since information on a new company is scarce and not readily available. The fact that the mineral resource continues to expand in both width and depth indicates to me that their entire resource will expand dramatically when their new upgraded resource estimates are updated and released after this drilling season. I would not be surprised by a resource estimate that exceeds 40 million ounces. If so, I would then expect a positive production decision within months.

“Pretium Resources Inc. is pleased to report initial results from the second phase of drilling at its high-grade gold Brucejack Project in northern British Columbia, where bonanza-grade gold continues to be intersected in the Valley of the Kings.

News was released in June, July and August on their website; indicating additional bonanza grades of Gold and additional Silver are shown below.

-- Hole SU-452 intersected 45,582 grams of gold per tonne uncut over 1.6 meters(1,612 ounces gold per ton) for one of the richest grades of gold ever found. In addition, bonanza grades of 27,725 grams of silver were found also over 1.6 feet; and

-- Hole SU-376 intersected 6,142 grams of gold per tonne uncut over 0.65 meters(179 ounces gold per ton over 2.1feet); and

-- Hole SU-349 intersected 5,240 grams of gold per tonne uncut over 0.5 meters(161 ounces gold per ton over 1.6 feet).

-- Hole SU-407 intersected 11,067 grams of gold per tonne uncut over 0.5 meters (323 ounces gold per ton over 1.6 feet).
-- Hole SU-393 intersected 3,440 grams of gold per tonne uncut over 0.5 meters (100 ounces gold per ton over 1.6 feet).
-- Hole SU-421 intersected 1,335 grams of gold per tonne uncut over 0.5 meters(39 ounces gold per ton over 1.6 feet).
The second phase of drilling at Brucejack is focused on high-grade definition drilling of the shallow high-grade resources at the Valley of the Kings, as well as testing extensions of the Valley of the Kings and other high-grade zones.”
Additional selected Brucejack Project Drill Results for June 2012 are also reported; all of which in my view continue to support the projections presented by me in previous articles on Pretium. As a result of these additional resource findings (directly from the Pretium website), I have not updated my previous rough estimates which, in my opinion, continue to be the best estimates available at this time. Total resources appear to expanding in area, with my best estimate now about 30 million ounces. The life of the mine appears to be increasing as well with the additional resources found to date. My estimate is for at least a 20 - 30 year life.

Cost and Revenues remain the same are calculated as follows:

Preliminary Cost Per Ton Calculation:
The Gold Mining Industry average of "All costs in" includes both mining costs plus all other costs such as administrative, royalties, depletion, etc. usually averages below $150 per ton mined for open pit mines and $200 for underground mines. Pretium's cost should be lower, but I have used the $171 per ton cost estimate of the company. Estimates by the company include reference to an initial 1,500 ton per day mill and mining operation. I have raised my production estimate in the future to 2,500 tons per day (see below) due to additional resources found and additional production anticipated, in my opinion, as a result.

Preliminary Revenue Per Ton Calculation:
I estimate that 10% of mining is from super high grades that approximate 1,000 to 18,000 grams per ton of gold and 1,000 to 9,000 grams per ton of silver. 10% of 2,500 tons = 150 tons at an assigned value (by SFC) of 1,000 grams of gold, and 100 tons at an assigned value of 1,000 grams of silver. I am using the lower cut-off grade of 1,000 grams to be conservative. I estimate that 90% of the remaining mining operation was taken at an average of 5 grams of gold per ton and 5 grams of silver per ton although Pretium’s resources appear to be running at 10 to 1 in favor of silver. No credits for other mineral resources have been included. The company is estimating that gold will yield 18.9 grams per ton and silver will yield 59.3 grams per ton on an overall basis. I believe these estimates are to low.

As a result of these assumptions, I have calculated estimated Pretium operations to be as follows based on a 350 day underground mining and milling operation per year with production allocation estimated at 60% Gold and 40% Silver. With continued high grades for both Gold and Silver, I have raised my estimates of total mining, milling and overall production from 1,500 tons to 2,500 tons per day. This estimate has not been raised by management as of this date, to my knowledge. Management is using an approximate 30% tax rate. I am using a 35% tax rate to be conservative and offset any other of my estimates. I also expect that in time Gold and Silver will trade in excess of $2,350 and $133 per ounce respectively.

Preliminary Revenues (using $1,750 gold and $34 silver):
10 % very high grade mining (VHG) or 250 tons at 1,000 grams/32.15 grams = 31.1 oz. per ton.

Daily VHG Gold Revenue - 60% or 150 tons x $1,750 per oz equals $ 8,163,750
Daily VHG Silver Revenue - 40% or 100 tons x $34 per oz. equals 105,740
Total of VHG operation of 250 tons per day equals 8,269,490

90% of regular grade mining (RG) or 2,250 tons at 5 grams/32.15 grams or 0.15552 oz. per ton.
Daily RG Gold Revenue - 60% or 1,350 tons x $1,750 per oz. equals $367,416
Daily RG Silver Revenue - 40% or 900 tons x $34 per oz. equals 4,759
Total of RG operation of 2,250 tons per day equals 372,175

Total Daily Revenues per day of mining operations equals $8,641,665
Less Total Daily cost of operations or 2,500 tons at $171 per ton equals ( 427,500)
Operating profit per day of mining operations or $8,214,165

Taxes (after recovery of all costs in years 3 to 5) at 35% estimated rate or (2,874,958)
Preliminary Net profit per day of operations $5,339,207

Preliminary Estimated 350 mining days (all underground) per year x 350
Estimated Net profit per full year (after taxes) of $1,868,722,450
Estimated # of outstanding shares outstanding (fully diluted) 100,689,586
Preliminary Estimated Earnings Per Share after Taxes and all costs of $18.56
Estimated PE ratio of 25 (could be from 20 to 30) of $463.98

Do your own research. I am a CPA (retired), not an advisor and sometimes things do not work out. You must have physical gold and silver in your hands and outside of the banking system. You must not be caught as an unsecured holder of physical or paper shares if the banking system implodes. Visit Sheldon’s Finest Coins since we can meet all your needs at the lowest prices in the industry. We have the lowest overhead in the industry in the USA. See our web-site above for more reasons why you must have gold and silver, other information, updates on Pretium and other Gold and Silver news. All transactions are keep confidential and are not reportable at this time.

All the best, with a little glitter and shine in your life,

Ed Sheldon CPA (retired) www.SheldonsFinestCoins.com


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